Claimant scorecard · AERS v2.1 · Calibrating
White House
10 claims tracked in the Responsibility Ledger. 10 pending grades.
AERS
—
Insufficient closed grades
Pending
10
Open horizons
Closed
0
Graded outcomes
First tracked
May 11, 2026
Open horizons
White House: Confirmed August 3, 2026, that the voluntary AI model evaluation framework required by President Trump's June 2 executive order was completed by the August 1 deadline, but will not disclose what the framework contains, who has seen it, or the benchmarks and model thresholds used to determine which models are covered
White House: Confirmed August 3, 2026, that the voluntary AI model evaluation framework required by Executive Order 14409 was completed by the August 1, 2026 deadline, but will not disclose framework contents, model thresholds, or benchmarking criteria
White House: Confirmed August 3, 2026, that the voluntary AI model evaluation framework required by Executive Order 14409 was completed by the August 1, 2026 deadline, but will not disclose framework contents, thresholds, or which companies have reviewed it
White House: Executive Order 14409, signed June 2, 2026, set August 1, 2026, as the deadline for Treasury, Defense, and Homeland Security to deliver a voluntary frontier AI model review framework, a classified benchmarking process, and a federal cyber workforce expansion plan—deliverables that did not appear by the deadline
White House: Finalized July 2026 negotiations with OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on a voluntary framework giving federal agencies up to 30 days to review national security implications of frontier models before public release, with announcement expected before August 1, 2026 deadline
Invalidator — If August 1, 2026 arrives without a published framework document establishing the voluntary review process, or if one of the three named labs (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google) publicly releases a frontier model in August–September 2026 without federal pre-release review, the claim that a functioning framework exists fails.
White House: Signed June 2, 2026, Executive Order 14409 directing Treasury, Defense, and Homeland Security to deliver by August 1, 2026, a classified benchmarking process and voluntary framework for 30-day pre-release government access to covered frontier models
White House: In advanced talks with OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic to finalize voluntary standards for frontier AI model releases, with announcement expected as soon as July 8, 2026
White House: In advanced talks as of July 1, 2026, with AI companies to finalize voluntary standards for frontier model releases, with announcement expected within one week
White House: Studying executive order for pre-release vetting of AI models, per Kevin Hassett statement May 6, 2026
White House: AI working group and pre-release vetting regime, briefed to labs May 4, then dismissed as "speculation"
About this scorecard
The AI Execution Risk Score (AERS) is a 0-100 metric quantifying the gap between White House’s public AI claims and demonstrated delivery. Higher AERS = stronger track record. Each claim above is drawn from a primary source linked in the original Ledger entry; the horizon date is when the claim becomes graded under the published methodology. Materiality is the editor’s assessment of the claim’s formality from 1 (PR statement) to 5 (earnings call or SEC filing).
AERS v2.1 · Methodology in active calibration · Not investment advice.